Oil prices eased on Friday as traders took profits following
three days of straight gains on the expectation that an Opec-led crude supply
cut that was initially supposed to only last for the first half of the year
would be extended.
Prices for front-month Brent crude futures, the
international benchmark for oil, were at US$52.83 per barrel at 0134 GMT, down
13 US cents from their last close.
In the United States, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude
futures were down 10 US cents at US$50.25 a barrel.
Despite Friday's dips, crude prices remain over four per
cent higher than they were at the start of the three-day rally on Tuesday.
"Oil looks to have found a range in the low
US$50s," ANZ Bank said on Friday.
Traders said there was a growing sense that the Organization
of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) and non-Opec oil production giant
Russia would agree to continue their production cut deal seeking to drive
prices higher.
Opec and non-Opec producers including Russia agreed late
last year to cut output by almost 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) during the
first half of the year in order to rein in a global supply overhang and prop up
prices.
But so far, alternative oil supplies, including from the
United States where production is soaring C-OUT-T-EIA, and doubts that Russia
was complying with its promised cuts, have prevented the market from
re-balancing.
Still, over the past week, a growing consensus has emerged
that the supply cut would be extended into the second half of the year - and
that Russia would increasingly comply.
"The changed thoughts about Russia's role in the market
reinforce...(the idea) that a deal between Opec and Russia is in the
offing," said Greg McKenna, chief market strategist at futures brokerage
AxiTrader.
Despite this, there remains doubt that the output cuts will
go deep enough for the world's bloated markets to tighten soon and significantly
lift prices, especially as other producers that are not part of the agreement
could step in to fill the supply gap.
"There is a tremendous amount of stock in the markets
and to expect a major increase in the price is not very realistic," the International
Energy Agency's (IEA) executive director Fatih Birol told Reuters on Thursday.
"If we see the prices go up as a result of any push
from the producer ...we will see more oil coming to the market, not just from
the US; we will also see Brazilian and Canadian oil coming to the market,"
he added.
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